Title:
Predictive Demand Response Modeling for Logistic Systems Innovation and Optimization

dc.contributor.advisor Montreuil, Benoit
dc.contributor.author Bahrami Bidoni, Zeynab
dc.contributor.committeeMember Paynabar, Kamran
dc.contributor.committeeMember Xie, Yao
dc.contributor.committeeMember Benaben, Frederick
dc.contributor.committeeMember Schmid, Nico
dc.contributor.department Industrial and Systems Engineering
dc.date.accessioned 2023-01-10T16:26:30Z
dc.date.available 2023-01-10T16:26:30Z
dc.date.created 2022-12
dc.date.issued 2022-12-13
dc.date.submitted December 2022
dc.date.updated 2023-01-10T16:26:30Z
dc.description.abstract In the ever-increasing dynamics of global business markets, logistic systems must optimize the usage of all possible sources to continually innovate. Scenario-based demand prediction plays an important role in the effective economic operations and planning of logistics. However, many uncertainties and demand variability, which are associated with innovative changes, complicate demand forecasting and expose system operators to the risk of failing to meet demand. This dissertation presents new approaches to predictively explore how customer preferences will change and consequently demand would respond to the new setup of services caused by an innovative transformation of the logistic layout. The critical challenge is that the responses from customers in particular and demand in general to the innovative changes and corresponding adjustments are uncertain and unknown in practice, and there is no historical data to learn from and directly support the predictive model. In this dissertation, we are dealing with three different predictive demand response modeling approaches, jointly shaping a new methodological pathway. Chapter 1 provides a novel approach for predictive modeling probabilistic customer behavior over new service offers which are much faster than ever done before, based on the case of a large Chinese parcel-delivery service provider. Chapter 2 introduces an approach for predicting scenario-based erection-site demand schedules under uncertainty of disruptive events in construction projects whose logistics transformed from traditional to modular style, based on the case of a USA-based innovative leader in modular building production. For such a leader to advance in its logistics design innovations and associated capacity adjustments, and also to enhance its capability for taking more market share, it is crucial to estimate potential future demand for modular construction and corresponding probable projects in terms of their potential location, size, and characteristics. For this purpose, Chapter 3 introduces a methodological approach for estimating scenario-based future demand for modular construction projects to be implemented over the US metropolitan statistical areas.
dc.description.degree Ph.D.
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1853/70196
dc.language.iso en_US
dc.publisher Georgia Institute of Technology
dc.subject Predictive Demand Modeling
dc.subject Customer Behavior Modeling
dc.subject Logistic Systems
dc.subject New Service
dc.subject Innovation
dc.subject Price-based Demand Response Analysis
dc.subject Scenario-based Demand Generation
dc.subject Risk Analysis, Disruptive Events
dc.subject Modular Construction
dc.subject Parcel-Delivery Logistics
dc.title Predictive Demand Response Modeling for Logistic Systems Innovation and Optimization
dc.type Text
dc.type.genre Dissertation
dspace.entity.type Publication
local.contributor.advisor Montreuil, Benoit
local.contributor.corporatename H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering
local.contributor.corporatename College of Engineering
relation.isAdvisorOfPublication c08054e1-e822-4fad-aab0-0554ec321a2a
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication 29ad75f0-242d-49a7-9b3d-0ac88893323c
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication 7c022d60-21d5-497c-b552-95e489a06569
thesis.degree.level Doctoral
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