(Georgia Institute of Technology, 2009-10-02)
Guo, Ying; Huang, Lu; Porter, Alan L.
This paper addresses the topic of anticipating likely development paths for a particular "New and Emerging Science & Technology" (NES&T). Characteristics of NES&T -- technological uncertainty and contextual dynamics -- pose challenges for technology management and forecasting practices. Researchers, technologists, R&D managers, staff in funding agencies and policy makers "need to know" future prospects. This requires better ways to capture NES&T development patterns, within their socio-economic context, as well as likely innovation opportunities. A new technology forecasting framework for NES&Ts is presented, supported by a case study of nano-enhanced biosensors.
(Georgia Institute of Technology, 2009-10-02)
Guo, Ying; Huang, Lu; Porter, Alan L.
This paper explores a framework to profile
research patterns for New and Emerging Science and Technology (NES&T), and applies it to Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells (DSSC), a promising NES&T. Such work is done via "tech mining" to capture key technological attributes, leading actors, and networks. The result shows that DSSC research is an interdisciplinary field, with increasing cooperation among different levels. Japan is notable not only in the number of papers but also for considerable involvement of the corporate sector in research. In contrast, China, as the second country in quantity, shows an obvious imbalance with few industrially associated authors, limited international cooperation, and low citations. Research profiling, as illustrated here, can inform technology strategies, and science and technology policies.