Scenario Modeling and Analysis for Strategic Decision-Making towards Net-Zero Aviation

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Author(s)
Baali, Ilias
Vinod, Yash
Almarzooqi, Ranya
Bagdatli, Burak
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Daniel Guggenheim School of Aerospace Engineering
The Daniel Guggenheim School of Aeronautics was established in 1931, with a name change in 1962 to the School of Aerospace Engineering
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https://hdl.handle.net/1853/77082
Abstract
With the commercial aviation industry being a major contributor to global emissions, there is a growing sense of urgency among stakeholders to reduce carbon emissions generated by the industry. Industry stakeholders must collaborate and execute decisions at crucial moments in time and realize a scenario to achieve the goal of net-zero emissions by 2050. This work integrates a methodology for generating emissions-reducing scenarios for the aviation industry with an approach to simulate the fleet-level impacts for these scenarios and assess them in terms of pertinent metrics, such as CO2 emissions, airline operating cost ,and flight ticket prices. The simulation approach is integrated into an environment called Sustainable Aviation Visualization Environment (SAVE) to allow users to compare the generated scenarios, analyze them, and aid aviation’s stakeholders in making informed decisions for enabling net-zero by 2050.
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2025-01
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