Title:
Declaring Drought for Effective Water Management

dc.contributor.author McKay, S. Kyle en_US
dc.contributor.author Rasmussen, Todd C. en_US
dc.contributor.corporatename United States. Army. Corps of Engineers en_US
dc.contributor.corporatename Daniel B. Warnell School of Forest Resources en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2013-07-22T01:31:40Z
dc.date.available 2013-07-22T01:31:40Z
dc.date.issued 2013-04
dc.description Proceedings of the 2013 Georgia Water Resources Conference, April 10-11, 2013, Athens, Georgia. en_US
dc.description.abstract Water managers are tasked with resolving conflicts between freshwater resource uses, which range from municipal water supply, to recreation, and to sustaining aquatic ecosystem integrity. Further complicating management, hydrologic processes experience numerous sources of periodic, quasi-periodic, and episodic variation. Water allocation tradeoffs are often most complex and contentious when availability is low. Drought is a “recurring extreme climatic event over land characterized by below-normal precipitation over a period of months to years” (Dai 2011). Water managers often apply indicators of climatologic and hydrologic conditions to identify when drought conditions are reached (e.g., Palmer Drought Severity Index, streamflow, respectively). These indicators inform drought declarations, with associated drought responses such as watering restrictions. Herein, we suggest techniques for predicting and declaring oncoming drought to improve the accuracy of drought declarations. We hypothesize that drought indicators in preceding months are predictive of future drought levels. Specifically, we develop predictive models using the Palmer Hydrologic Drought Index, a common drought indicator. We then demonstrate the utility of our model for drought declarations for the Middle Oconee River near Athens. en_US
dc.description.sponsorship Sponsored by: Georgia Environmental Protection Division; U.S. Department of Agriculture, Natural Resources Conservation Service; Georgia Institute of Technology, Georgia Water Resources Institute; The University of Georgia, Water Resources Faculty. en_US
dc.description.statementofresponsibility This book was published by Warnell School of Forestry and Natural Resources, The University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia 30602-2152. The views and statements advanced in this publication are solely those of the authors and do not represent official views or policies of The University of Georgia, the Georgia Water Research Institute as authorized by the Water Research Institutes Authorization Act of 1990 (P.L. 101-307) or the other conference sponsors. en_US
dc.embargo.terms null en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1853/48501
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.publisher Georgia Institute of Technology en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries GWRI2013. Climate, Floods, & Droughts en_US
dc.subject Water resources management en_US
dc.subject Drought prediction en_US
dc.subject Drought declaration en_US
dc.subject Palmer hydrologic drought index en_US
dc.subject Drought indicator model en_US
dc.subject Middle Oconee River en_US
dc.title Declaring Drought for Effective Water Management en_US
dc.type Text
dc.type.genre Proceedings
dspace.entity.type Publication
local.contributor.corporatename Georgia Water Resources Institute
local.contributor.corporatename School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
local.contributor.corporatename College of Engineering
local.relation.ispartofseries Georgia Water Resources Conference
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication 8873b408-9aff-48cc-ae3c-a3d1daf89a98
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication 88639fad-d3ae-4867-9e7a-7c9e6d2ecc7c
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication 7c022d60-21d5-497c-b552-95e489a06569
relation.isSeriesOfPublication e0bfffc9-c85a-4095-b626-c25ee130a2f3
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