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final_submission(1).pdf (292.25 KB)

Author(s)

Bland, Robert L.
Little, S. Grace

Authors

Advisor(s)

Advisor(s)

Editor(s)

Associated Organization(s)

Organizational Unit

School of Economics

Organizational Unit

Ivan Allen College of Liberal Arts

Series

Series

Economics: Econometric Analysis

Collections

Undergraduate Scholarship

Supplementary to

Permanent Link

http://hdl.handle.net/1853/56628

Abstract

After the controversial election of 2016, many questions were left unanswered by traditional polling and prediction standards. Our paper aims to examine economic and demographic behaviors that drive voting patterns in three key Rust Belt states. After examining several pivotal works, we describe their contribution to the literature, and explain how our work will contribute to the research discussed. We then proceed to examine American Community Survey data for years predating general elections in the three pivotal states – Illinois, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania – examining each at the county level. Our results suggest several important factors in voter decisions, especially when examining the interactions between demographic factors and economic factors. Consequently, we find that while economic factors may be significant in voter decisions, they may not be key in voter decisions.

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Date Issued

2017-04

Extent

Resource Type

Text

Resource Subtype

Undergraduate Research Paper

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