Title:
A methodology for the robustness-based evaluation of systems-of-systems alternatives using regret analysis

dc.contributor.advisor Mavris, Dimitri N.
dc.contributor.author Poole, Benjamin Hancock en_US
dc.contributor.committeeMember Bishop, Carlee
dc.contributor.committeeMember McMichael, Jim
dc.contributor.committeeMember Nixon, Janel
dc.contributor.committeeMember Schrage, Daniel P.
dc.contributor.department Aerospace Engineering en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2008-09-17T19:27:31Z
dc.date.available 2008-09-17T19:27:31Z
dc.date.issued 2008-07-01 en_US
dc.description.abstract After surveying the state-of-the-art in evaluation of alternatives in the defense acquisition process, a methodology for the evaluation of the robustness of systems-of-systems alternatives was proposed. In the methodology, robustness is defined as the integral of the alternative s regret over the likelihood-weighted plausible scenario space. Surrogate modeling techniques were used to overcome shortcomings associated with conventional regret analysis, including the discrete nature of scenario cases and static results. The new methodology, called Global Regret Analysis, was tested using an example problem based on the air campaign over Iraq in Operation Desert Storm. The results of the testing indicate that the methodology can provide a measure of the robustness of different system-of-systems alternatives against a wide range of possible scenarios. The methodology was then demonstrated on the US Air Force s persistent, precision strike mission. The demonstration showed the ability of Global Regret Analysis to overcome issues associated with using a single or other small number of scenarios to evaluate systems-of-systems alternatives. The methodology was then compared to a variety of existing methods and found to have strength for a wide range of evaluation applications. The possibility of applying Global Regret Analysis for military mission planning and opportunities for future work were also discussed. en_US
dc.description.degree Ph.D. en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/1853/24648
dc.publisher Georgia Institute of Technology en_US
dc.subject Robustness en_US
dc.subject Robust en_US
dc.subject Design en_US
dc.subject Defense en_US
dc.subject Systems-of-systems en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Decision making
dc.subject.lcsh Experimental design
dc.subject.lcsh Asymmetric warfare
dc.subject.lcsh Resource allocation
dc.subject.lcsh Mathematical models
dc.subject.lcsh Robust optimization
dc.subject.lcsh Uncertainty
dc.subject.lcsh Decision support systems
dc.title A methodology for the robustness-based evaluation of systems-of-systems alternatives using regret analysis en_US
dc.type Text
dc.type.genre Dissertation
dspace.entity.type Publication
local.contributor.advisor Mavris, Dimitri N.
local.contributor.corporatename Daniel Guggenheim School of Aerospace Engineering
local.contributor.corporatename Aerospace Systems Design Laboratory (ASDL)
local.contributor.corporatename College of Engineering
local.relation.ispartofseries Doctor of Philosophy with a Major in Aerospace Engineering
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relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication 7c022d60-21d5-497c-b552-95e489a06569
relation.isSeriesOfPublication f6a932db-1cde-43b5-bcab-bf573da55ed6
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