They would have said this is the last one that I was really on one more crack that were very alive far away and research and development that you know that well thank you. I just want to issue a warning first so this is very much a work in progress in very early stages this is the first time I'm going public with it. So if it seems a little ragged around the edges. Forgive me. River Basin Earth most of you know it's not a new idea in the global south but with climate change and growing economic complexity. It's becoming more necessary. And that the same time we're contentions. Today I'm going to focus on proof three Asunta which faces three problems whose solutions are going to require a coordinated planning process that's both inclusive and I think Democratic. Two of these problems growing demand and increasing pollution are media. The third could strike with a vengeance. Sometime during the next two decades and that would be severe reduction in the volume of the river as a result of glacial retreat caused by global warming. Now unless present levels of pollution is substantially reduced. As the rivers flow diminishes the quality of its waters will deteriorate as well. Hydrologist local officials environmental N.G.O.s working in the river basin are arguing for immediate coordinated action on behalf of the river but they're complaining that political fragmentation competing sectoral interests and a series of small conflicts on a number of different axis is making this impossible. Yet the concern is that heightened competition for water could exacerbate existing regional. Inequalities and increase the potential for conflict that could become violent. I'm not coming to this as a neutral observer. I lived in the car when there was the middle reaches of the river basin and have had a longstanding relationship with some of its municipalities and communities. For the past year I've been working with the Mountain Institute in Peru to see if we can define a role for Georgia Tech in this river basin effort. And the Mountain Institute or T.M.I. made explicit its own commitment to seeking want a management solution. That supports Highland communities and the complex agro ecosystems that they have nurtured. Last summer on a muddy had way the. International affairs student worked with T.M.. I to assess a potential for coordination this current this coming summer. I hope that Nancy Gulu ski a graduate student in policy and planning will join us in Peru. So well you know what the goal is is to build a fairly long term attack Mountain Institute chord collaboration around this theme of River Basin planning and hopefully to find money to support the collaboration. So let me talk first a little bit about river basins focal points for collective action. Across the global self a number of river basins have become targets of social mobilization and environmental social scientists can conquer finds that mobilization around water has typically occurred either where rivers are threatened by big dam projects as in the case of the Narmada Valley or where water marketing market is ation is taking place in the case of Cochabamba in Bolivia. But mobilization around the need for comprehensive planning is very rare. Rebecca avers. Works works in Brazil and she found that in most cases the preconditions for political mobilization don't exist. That government agencies lack the technical capacity and experience to coordinate the functions of different agencies. Well governmental and nongovernmental stakeholders view regulation with skepticism. But she filmed in Brazil where appropriate legal Meg. Anisim was for organization have been put in place small scale collaborative efforts have led to the production of collective identities around River Basin planning. And this is proof. Whiskey is really primitive the kind of mobilization that is not yet taking place in the sun. So let me turn now just to tell you you know a little bit about Cruise water problem. And as you can see from the. Crew is divided into three we each and every school kid knows us. You have the coast which is light brown this year which is brown and the one tying in-cell which are green. Water is abundant on those eastern green looks but population is concentrated in the Pacific watershed. Let's see what happened here. OK. This shows you the concentration. That eighty percent of Peru's water is used for irrigation and the other eighteen percent because for domestic use in industry. Two percent is used by the mining sector but the mining sector renders a lot of water or unfit for other uses. So in fact this contribution is much larger. In two thousand and four seventy seven percent here a gated lion was located on the arid coast. Eighteen percent in the Sierra where most of the nation's present agriculture occurs. And the North Coast irrigation systems are growing very very fast. Particularly those that draw water off of the Santa Fe water huge came plantations and agribusiness enterprises that produces Speratus an artichoke how many of you have ever eaten asparagus out of season. And if you. OK comes from Peru. You just look at the labels at home food. OK so that's a general. But the other thing is that the mining sector has grown vastly since about nine hundred ninety two with the neo liberal turn in Peru's government and economy with pacification in the countryside and with I.M.F. structural adjustment programs that conditionalities really emphasize export oriented production. Some seventy three percent of the mines. Are in the Sierra. So seventy three percent the water used by these mines is in the upper reaches of the rivers that flow west to the Pacific. Real Santa is proof the largest westward flowing river and it provides water for hydro power peasant agriculture agribusiness small island settlements big coastal cities and it's contaminated by large mines and small. But untreated urban sewage by agricultural runoff and waste from the fishmeal factories near the coast much of the rivers volume comes from snow melt and glacial melt because of its glacial Arjun's it's one of the few westward flowing rivers to float year round. Many of the rivers are just into me. So here you can see that the river is the white snowy mountain and you can see the river flows along the western flank of those mountains and then turns west and almost Southwest to form the border between the regions among caution of the bear. So after river basin. Conquest. Consists of well it still consists of the high alpine meadows and the Puna and the forestry use for grazing and for crops like potatoes in Kenya a fear of peons who introduced cattle barley see indices. Since one thousand nine hundred ninety two. We've seen the rapid growth of mining although some mining existed before and let me just show you here is the lake on a coach of the head waters of the sun. Which right about forty forty five hundred metres above sea level. It's good like for fishing. There's another glacial like. Here you see up on the pool. What's got on national park which is a significant amount of the quarter. Yet a Blunkers side of the watershed. There's one of our collaborators and here we're going. But we're still in the high reaches cattle predominate note now does the cows I mean these are not your normal black angus or Brown Swiss a lot of create your you know varieties and the variation in cattle have you. To restudy. Cat grazing is beginning to compete with agriculture with global warming. Here's a potato harvest up on the Huna. Here are some of the crops that are harvested from the hives. And you. And again potatoes. Mining. Is an open pit mine. Up in the quarter yet and mega which has no snow but we're still here at about thirteen fourteen thousand feet above sea level. It shows the UN to mean I'm one of the mines in the kind of home in one nine hundred ninety six and you know you can see the way it's affected the landscape by the year two thousand. Some of the mines are old and abandoned as in the city of the city the old mining town of teacup Pompa. But the tailings are still with us. The tailings are not managed in any way shape or form and they're leeching toxic chemicals into the river every day. Small minds are proliferating you here's a picture I took of a a little coal mine. It's really basically three guys in a truck. Totally regulated. Although there is a push a move afoot to formalize a sector and to impose regulations for it. It's not really going anywhere. Here you see some of the agricultural landscape as we're moving down from the high prune a down toward the valleys the mid Basin are the kind when they watch us because a heart has a number of fairly small urban settlements that are concentrated along the river. And what's. And happening in recent years as the population has been moving out of the very high and isolated sounds down into communities closer to the river and its tributaries first of all because it well it would in some of them a working outside of agriculture second so their kids can go to school. And third to the thinking that a clinic can buy stuff and you know it's a reasonable move but you're getting urban densification but no service provision to speak of. Irrigated agriculture is becoming increasingly important here but we still have dryland farming small and medium scale mining. Particularly long time and call the coal is used in furnace for firing Adobe's and bricks and tiles and I don't know. I thought I was used for a number of small industries and at the bottom of the bell like a hydroelectric plant. I took this in one of the old schools in the valley the site of the old Cornell proof project. This is the idealized and it was. And here is the city of water ice. The Partido upper east up here one is the party of the present president and it influences some of his decision making. Here you can see the urban fabric small town. Yeah I still have with us in these towns. Here is Rico switches become much more urban in the past decade. Here you see. The pace of her of an association this guy's making in the old lease downstream we get cut. I swear you get more export oriented and national market oriented cut flour and orange production and. The Valley basically ends with the hydroelectric dam at Wyong. Then the river flows through the kind young the pot. There used to be a railroad that went through this girl her age. You can see it's hard to spot it but you can see one of the old tunnels. I think class for rap and. The. Railroad was destroyed by an earthquake in and one thousand nine hundred seventy that altered the complection of the whole valley. Then we get down to the coast where we have X. we're oriented agriculture to large irrigation schemes charge remote cheek on the lever. Does And she make us on the side. Of big fish meal industry and she bought the large chaotically growing urban settlements. She invoked a man who he. And on the coast a fishing industry. So here you see the valley. This is the general plan for the chubby much ecosystem which would draw water off the sun. And bring it across into a number of different river valleys and provide water for irrigation. It's going to irrigate some sixty sixty thousand new hectares of previously irrigated Desert One supply water to the city of Trujillo it's supposed to provide hydro power for the agro enterprises and for the city of true regularize the water supply. You see these green the ring. The green areas here. These are fed by rivers which can be intermittent and during dry years they have may have no water at all. So the idea is to take from the sun to which is a regularly forwarding river. And regularize the water supply for these other valleys. Needless to say because she knows are not happy about this irrigators in chief make us. The older gauge and system are not getting the water that they have been promised and they have called the diversion dam for a Chevy more cheek wall. Here you see a view of. Chimbo. The town that was built up fishmeal industry was made possible by the construction of that hydro dam and why Anka. NET mending in the city. It gives you again some sense of the urban fabric of these north coast towns. They're really good and the fishing fleet support of Santa and the mouth of the river and here you see the town the small town of Santa during a storm surge last summer. So that gives you a bit of an idea of what the river looks like. In some of them. I just wanted to say that demand for the sun to this water is growing. As a result of urbanization both in the kind. On and on the coast. As a result of the growth of export agriculture on the coast and at the same time pollution is being aggravated by the growth in the mining sector and chemical runoff industrial waste and untreated sewage. What's called natural pollution in quotes is also a problem in the kind hone natural pollution is when the arsenic and heavy metals set occur naturally in the soils are released and what releases them is basically construction and the removal of the topsoil Captain top rock out for mining. Yeah. Well this is what we don't have yet you know there is this is a proof it's a fairly data poor environment and that you know. People are making different projections and the project the general consensus is that once the Chivery muchy project is completed it is not yet completed. The demand will then exceed supply at that point. You know probably. Well yeah yeah well there are a series of projections about that the general consensus is that within two decades. We will have. The last glacial cover and the river will be entirely dependent upon rainfall and that before that period where you have serious droughts. This summer and him is likely to exceed supply. So part of climate change of course is is warming and glacial melt that gradual loss of snow melt but part of it is also increasing climatic very Realty in the Andes. Have always had this variability in the form and so our solutions will mean you know. Vince. You know since I've been coming to the Andes which goes back to the sixty's ocurred like once every four years now. The only new events seem to be getting more pronounced. So this is I think the time to hand this. Since So since nineteen eighty quarter you had a blank of the main glaciated range that feeds the river as well as some fifteen percent of its glacial cover encompass chinos really no I think. This is one of the glacis gracious plus truly. It's no longer a glacier. It's now a snow field. And it is the most visited glacier and all fruit because people can go up by road and just walk in a kilometer or so in touch it. So prostituting it is a national symbol or. Which there has been some concern here you see a glacier in v cosen and the Pico seen us used to get ice from the glacier you can see the scar where it used to be fairly. OK there. Then it all grandmothers and everybody will tell you about glacial retreat. Because they see it. It used to go to this rock. Now it doesn't go to this rock ten years ago it was at that rock it doesn't go to that rock anymore. So there's a very palpable awareness of what's going on the immediate crisis however is a little bit different. Is. The good a shield Lakes. Up in the Andes or growing now and filling in the lake sit behind rain well ma'am. When there is a lot of concern about these merino dams giving way. Now. One can shave uter the moraine on Tam's giving way is when you have huge chunks of glacier falling off. You know at one time. Now. The mining exploration that is going on in certain valleys way way up high. It is argued is just. Shaking. The earth and shaking the glaciers and making far more alike leave the calving off of large chunks into the marina legs in a way that's going to film rain on them. And one of the gifts of neoliberalism in Peru was that fair. Used to be really good water measurement stations. Along these glacial way. And a lot of very good weather data being collected an early warning system if you will that with budget cuts that early morning system has deteriorated. Now I think that there's going to be an effort to build it back up again but it is not what it was in even and I nine hundred seventy S.. So this is the context. I gave you shows you what some of the likely impacts are going to be I don't want to go into them here. But what I do want to do is think about the competition. That's likely to take place because if you don't have a good idea of what the competition is. You can't figure out how you get beyond it in order to build. Planning effort. So first of. It in the first instance our competition is sectoral different kinds of uses of water and the second. Upstream downstream. And the Cerne regional between these neighboring regions on cash and be very. And if you look at the sectoral uses. First and I'll just run through this quickly the first is equal article services. These are important because of the stream and the what's going on national park and downstream in the fishing areas tourist development in the area is certainly related to the health of both coastal and high altitude ecosystems. So it can is urban consumption. And here again we have the smaller cities that are growing up in the kind of home and a war. Coastal cities. Every new this is. You know we have to think of the demand for water. Not just for drinking but also for things like it. They'll be making for small industries for washing Well you know that there are all kinds of uses of water but also water pollution. And here solid waste management and sewer system so conspicuous by their absence. Mining. A recent analysis of conflicts between morning enterprises in communities in northern Peru has showed that sixty percent of these conflicts focus on water of these sixty four percent were concerned with contamination in the mining sector recession tried to indicate earlier is comprised of this large international ground. That's controlled by transnational consortia the middle scale mines that are run by a national companies and these little operations her flip raining all over the valley. Now it's a little operations that saw hundred seventy five percent growth in the years since two thousand and one and two thousand and four. She was. Certain extent conflict with the big mining Enterprises has been muted by the fact that a significant fraction of revenues from the mine are returned to the mining communities on the other some to the region some to the districts and some you know right down to the community level as a result some of these little mining towns are getting rich but neighboring communities that may be affected by pollution are impacted and impoverished. If we look at culture. I think the recent the two thousand and eight World Bank. Well Development Report says you know it calls upon the international community and I'm quoting here to climate proof farming systems of the poor in the Andes. It says very little about how we should go about doing this just appears in a sentence talks a lot about out migration. But agriculture and livestock. You know I think are important not just the local economies but to us. Because this is the gene bank for potatoes cane or another or crocs because you know. This is the source of agro biodiversity. It was a valid law center. There were Coltrane on the coast already about a conflict between Did she make a century more cheap. In May of this year Prue's Association of bag-O. exporters demanded that approving government take contingency measures to counteract the impacts of climate change on their industry. Well there's a demand going to be what you know what are they asking for didn't say in the newspaper article. It's clear they're asking for water. OK who's the water going to come from. What's going to be more important in the long year ensuring that we get our Baracus. Or. Protecting the thing that we get a system because in producing is going to this is the kind of question. That's already emerging. So and hydropower of course. How to power depends upon a steady flow of water. If all the water ends up being consumed upstream of the plant and why younker you're not going to have reliable power power for the coastal cities. So we can anticipate the subsector role and sectoral competition for water welling creasing like pit. Coal and regional uses. Against those uses which are deemed to be of national importance. And at the end of the day I think these may end up translating into two upstream or downstream conflict when between the mining areas and the agriculture and the kind on the other between good culture and the kind of home and the X. for agriculture on cars. How are we doing on time. Ten minutes. OK it's going to take exceptional governance. To. Lead to coordinate and when it says plate. But. To date. Governance in Peru is not exceptional. It's not terrible. You know it's sort of normal for normal not only for the global south was probably better than the Chattahoochee. But Dublin principles are to curated Anthon one nine hundred ninety one international water and environment. State that water management should be integrated participatory and it should occur at the lowest appropriate level and there is a principle here of subsidiarity that given the diversity of sectoral afters. And the very different. Law into a power that these actors have I am wondering if subsidiarity is the right way to go to be effective the management of the sun is going to require integration across sectors in integration. At different levels of government. But right now. Response ability for water management and environmental supervision ration are dispersed among at least eight different ministries. And a second problem is that there's been what I She is partial and at the same time over decent was ation partial in the sense that some water related decisions. Continue to be made at the national level particularly those that relate to the construction of new irrigation works and concessions for being mining. Responsibility for addressing the environmental implications of this decision. Rice was very very weak district level. This is you know community level think. Well I don't have a good Georgia equivalent but you get towns of five ten thousand that are supposed to be managing responsibility for environmental oversight and care and for oversight of water use decision making. Well panhandler is changing a little bit. To two thousand and six World Bank strategy document called for institutional reform toward multi sectoral management of water resources but still the World Bank mantra is decentralization decent was Asian. And the worse the recent trade agreement that was negotiated with the US required the Pru establish a new ministry of the environment. So what we have now are two very new agencies one is the Ministry of the environment. Which is supposed to coordinate sectoral environmental. Decision making but it remains to see how much power it will have it was apparently designed and created within three weeks. OK so we don't know how much thought well into this second institution that is in the national not in management agency is house within the Ministry of Agriculture. But has moved the sector over responsibility. Again it's brand new. We also have an autonomous authority. Created by national field. Governance of the real center basin. It is supposed to be the lead agency in making decisions in matters concerning use and conservation of water and soil in the basin. It is conspicuous also by its absence. It's just not there yet. And so you get. Authority for water capture and management being centralized. And good day to day work and management is being done by people with little power. And this really has created a void a governance void and it's this void that the institutions of civil society are attempting to fill. So let me conclude by saying where do we go from here. And what Rebecca enablers concluded on the basis of her River Basin studies in Brazil where collective and I'm quoting her here a collective identities are necessary. If people are to believe they can collaborate. These identities can develop when leaders and initial collaborative practices help frame ideas and new ways cause networks to expand build confidence among participants about their ability to work together and we need others to recognize a given set of actors as a group. M. Briquet says she's studying. She found that non-governmental organisations we came involved in fairly narrowly defined efforts. But these efforts involved a reframing in a lot of problem. And. Ways that allowed people to see the river basin as a real territorial entity of which there were a part and named both cases the organizations that were doing this. Gradually expanded the their efforts creating networks. With other organizations good taste started small and they started with concrete problems it built up the confidence among members that collaboration would indeed be possible. You know one case was tree planting in another case it was small health care programs and I think we're already seeing some signs of movement in this direction in the Santa Basin the mountain and city to our you see and the University of what us a sharing information. There's a group of rural mayors called room would pray that this is beginning to interact. But the interaction is continually frustrated by the fragmentation of interest. And most frustrating to the end she says the total lack of interest on the part of eggs for agriculture and the mining sector. So the question is whether we can identify axes complementarity. That can cross cut the existing sectoral crave it has. And I think one of the things that I would like to do this summer is learn more about how residents use water at least in one or two of this a basins of the river and what they see is constituting socially spiritually economically responsible use and fair allocation of the water resource. And I'm hoping that by moving. From the need to use to the need to protect and provide it may be a little bit easier to think about building process for alliances. The second thing that I think we can do is publicly recognize the importance of the river in shaping a regional culture and identity. And I think we can do that with communities so that when the river in the valley is already a slow food receive you. There is a growing pride in Andean agriculture. There is a sense of place that can be drawn on way back. You know going way back to thirty years ago there were songs typical Andean country western music that talks about the river and record he had a blank and that you know there is definitely a feeling for a place that I think can be built upon. Assert approach noted by ABERS A Cx accused of little projects. Well in the long governmental entities that can help build the organizational framework that can support River Basin wind collaboration. And here I'm hoping that we can get involved with Engineers Without Borders and see if we can get Engineers Without Borders a tech to come down and to identify and maybe carry out some of these projects. But here in the past two coordination as you know long it's going to take time. And the pressure to act immediately is enormous. For obvious reasons. We can just hope that by killing two Cruise insensibility is a bit it could. I miss once ability recognition of the rivers importance in creating place they developing organizational capacity. We may get there in the end and hopefully sooner rather than and later. Thank you. Peter. It's always having to go off a cliff. OK. The mountains are too. It has done is it has. Chosen to become a convener. Of a coalition. On behalf of the Rio something. It's because it had a long presence who want us. But in the upper reaches. Now as convener of the coalition. It's. Its ethical obligation to the communities and to the coast systems. However it has reached out to. It's even gotten support for some of its activities from the big mining companies. It's reached out to the press's. Agro enterprises and. Now. You know it's an NGO. So then the question is. What can tech bring to that collaboration and I think there are three things you know what one of the things that we can bring is. The hydrology is being done. I'm not I'm not worried about that that's happening because according yet a blanket is definitely geological in chronological interest. But what we don't know we don't we don't we're not really mere suring pollution adequately we don't have a very good sense of what the contribution of different mining enterprises is we don't have technologies that would allow small scale minds to better manage their wastes. We don't you know we could use vice about things you know things like condominiums systems. How small communities that cannot afford a sewage treatment plants can deal with sewage treatment and have it can feel with solid waste management. You know all this is where I think Tech could fly. A role. It's not necessarily a role that is going to attract fancy. You know big science. It's a role where I think as I said Engineers Without Borders can play a role and I think a social scientists again. Are you. C.N.N. is putting in a project when I you see and puts in a project every day. Because I you see and this is the internationally and for the Conservation of Nature. They are very good at talking the talk. Doc traditionally they have not been very good at figuring out where people are actually you know where people's heads are at. So I think one of the things we have the leisure to do in tech is to do research to do this kind of investigation where we figure out where people are at and and personally I would like to do it. You know the more I think about it. It depends upon what T.M.I. once. In a listening a sense of fairness and responsibility. You know what. How did people see equity in water allocation and distribution kind of a sea fairness. What you know what's fair. What's unfair. Yeah. You know. I can't you know because we probably don't have good reliable data. But I do know that over the past thirty years. You know people used to go up to the glacier all the time to just get ice. If you needed ice in the community because he walk up to the bush and walk back. That is no longer a practical walk. So in thirty years. It's retreated kilometers. I also don't know. Again we don't hear I don't have a hydrological date on and I hope to get a better feel for the project go. Not. But just talking to people driving around the countryside that used to be a snow feel looking at bare rock the retreat has been notable and again the figure was I think twenty percent since one thousand growth. Yeah yeah yeah yeah yeah yeah yeah yeah OK I think publicity born for saying it's going to. OK and community level. You have this marvelous mechanisms of reciprocity. And Exchange where they were exchange and seed potato exchanges so you know mechanisms of reciprocity many of which go on on beyond the community level. Have been there. Traditionally the ability to come together for collective action and crew is just always. He has odd me. Really these communal kitchen them on the coast earn example. Now the problem comes when you're beginning to have to include the large economic powers. In the country. That in fact are important and a national level because they generate foreign exchange. And I think what you have to do with this is in the thinking strategically. Yes you can build a collective identity around the river because I think you know it's already incipient you just have to make it more expressive. I think that your opportunity cross-cutting kinds of programs and projects it will build relations of trust. Then one. You know I don't know for a work but I would be really eager to see collaboration between the fishing communities in the mine affected communities way up high. Because they're both affected by contamination. They need that with him has an axe to grind against the other day they don't know one another they don't know what they do but then you're getting the river from the headwaters to the mouth. I don't think it would take a whole lot and we already. We had this T.M.I. You have this little conference last summer and I'm a D.M. and I participated in the there it was called Come you know. And they invited. There were N.G.O.s from the Kohan. And environmental management committee from way up on the Poona you know mining community. On an NGO from down on the coast. They are not ready to to you know. Create a joint ten today but it was clear listening to people from the coast and listening to people from the high altitude that it was there were places for convergence. So the question is how do you make that happen. Thank you very much. I she didn't she didn't here Nancy is we're going to try and get Nancy down the summer.