From Northwestern and then went back to our capital. Thank you thank you. Chance to catch up. With old colleagues as well and it's a pleasure to be here and thank you for coming to the stock. So what the stock is about is higher education in the Indian software industry India as many of you would know has been doing very well in the field of software particularly software export and for that it needs service to human capital so it needs the engineers who can work there. And so one of the problems that the Indian industry faced about a decade ago as it was beginning to rethink establishment in a big way was a shortage of engineers and you know there wasn't much that it could do at the time about it but for various reasons that are discussed there's been a change in the in the Indian Higher education system particularly the engineering education system. And the result has been that today India produces a very large number of engineers about four hundred thousand engineers a year. Most of them even though they come out in a variety of fields mostly will join the ID industry. So as of two thousand and eight. Even in a time when the industry is not doing as well as opposed to being last year. Still even this year the industry expects to employ about four hundred thousand people to put that in perspective that's three for every minute of the working day. So that's a significant number. So the question that this addresses from a research point of view is. How did this happen that the interests of the industry and that of of the supply of its needs goes to was met with is one question second is what's the quality really like and third is is there something that we in developed countries can do to respond to this leverage it perhaps embrace it and use it. Or otherwise react to it and and in that context it does is offer a useful model for some countries perhaps more a model for emerging countries than for developed one third US The Could these questions for the next like this. For the first question I'll be addressing it. What is the cost and timetable for developing an affordable accessible education system. So the put it in perspective if you look at how education systems in developed countries happened of course there were different driving forces but in the US It was very driven by state level action by civic and political elites. So if you for example look at the community college system that began around the nineteen. Ten twenty one nine hundred twenty timeframe as an outgrowth of a limited supply of space in the four year college system and first a community college has been in the U.S. began as adjunct to high schools they were part of the high school to me to two more years and then went into the foyer system. Very much driven by the civic elites of that small town or municipality saying we want to prepare our kids better to get into the foyer system and for a long time. Many of the elite universities including Harvard Stanford and others said that we then do away with our two years and just rely on the committee called this a produced the first two years for a variety of political reasons that didn't happen but the point I was trying to make is that the driving force behind an education system a higher education system in a country. As the literature tells us is mostly driven by elites of some kind. So it's either in a democracy. It tends to be civic and political elites in a more authoritarian system it tends to be bureaucratic elites who drive it and who define what a system so should look like how it should be financed. So these are important questions for example when I used the word cost. It has to be affordable to a country. Now most countries will spend around three to four percent of their G.D.P. Most of us. In countries on education as a whole that has to be for primary secondary and higher education. Now from a political point of view if you're an emerging country the burden is to provide primary and secondary education. And then and then only tertiary So how do you then manage that system so that you keep a good flow into the system that you don't over invest in Primary a second grade occasion so cost is important. How long does it take you have different approaches you could go for private provision you could go for very distributed public provision across the country. You could have centers of excellence in a few locations which is what India did for many years. So what's the best way to do it in terms of the starting point and how can it spread so that it remains affordable accessible to all. And these I mentioned how to developed countries respond to the education achievements of India and for that one needs to understand what the new system has achieved in terms of innovation research competence technical competence by which I mean to a certain level of competence of for say the idea industry whereas this would refer to hire and work which is might involve more creative competence entrepreneurship project management and in this age of globalization particularly global project management. So how should developed countries respond to India's achievements in this you know what we know is Indian software industry has done well. Or what is perhaps less known is weighted in terms of these aspects I'll be talking a bit about that. Other models of governments that are critical for quality this I think is a key research question you know. So what sent what level of institutional decentralization should you have should be very tightly controlled by a Senate or a governing body which might be influenced by the state or by private entities and in within that how much autonomy should the faculty have. What should be the level of university industry linkages. Is it conceivable. For example if you look at India say around two thousand two thousand and one. And you ask the question and there within the engineering system. How many students actually go and do their forty or design projects. With the help of a company. Is there some linkage to they do work only within the confines of the university lab or is there some linkage with a company either a project is given by industry or they go and work in industry labs and so on and you'd hope that they would be upheld the interrelationship too because you know to make the education more practical where India as of two thousand two thousand and one even in its best known institute such as the Indian Institute of Technology the I T Almost ninety percent of the projects were done within the university environment there was no linkage with industry. So how does that change with time for the timeframe we've already discussed and are there. What is the model of changing the way when I said political civic leader referred to the kinds of things you typically see in in a democracy but not always and worse is a bureaucracy or it could be military in some countries that drive the process if you look at Pakistan for example. The military plays a significant role in various aspects of civic life including the higher education system. The best one of the best run. Engineering is situation in Pakistan is called Must National University of Science and Technology which was started by the military and continues to be an important training ground for their engineers but also accept civilians. So these are the questions I will be addressing in the counter and use India as of my context next one. Please. OK so the institutional background of India so this is important not these are the rules of the game. The institutions that define what is possible. So under the Constitution of India education is a concurrent subject. Concurrent means that it's the responsibility of both. The national government which is headquartered in New Delhi so I use New Delhi to mean the capital. And. The responsibility of the individual States or India is a federal. Democracy which means there's a significant responsibility to the States is not what's called a unitary system where everything is controlled from the capital. So I can present China is a unitary not a democracy but a unitary system of government although you may have defacto devolution of power in many cases but things like responsibility to raise taxes. You know those things of which are marks of the federal democracy don't exist in China. Whereas in the U.S. as you know it's highly federalist even much more than India so India is a Fed is a federal democracy where New Delhi In the case of Higher Education New Delhi decides on the system to another with things like engineering should be a four year degree rather than a three year degree they have to accrediting bodies at the national level in the case of engineering is the All India Council of technical education which sets standards measures them and their sponsorship of the state is to be the provider. So they are the ones who respond for making sure that the population is educated colleges I established and so on. Now India has a university system which is different from the university system in the US the university in India is primarily an affiliating body in other words its job is to how it will have a bunch of colleges under it. Which are for the education which have the employee the teachers and the student recruit the students and the university provides the degree so it sets certain standards based on what New Delhi has laid out and it make sure that those standards are followed by the individual colleges. So the colleges are highly autonomous institutions they set up by different groups affiliated to a university. So for example Delhi University where I study it is of the affiliating body and I went to a private college within that. And there were several hundred colleges within the university some private Some public. Well the financial burden is shared mostly on the provinces so the states are responsible for eighty percent of the cost. The only exception is and this goes back to a policy decision that was made by the the first government after independence where it said that the quality is not so good to at the state level compared to what is needed and we don't think the states are strong enough to provide the qualities of the National Government New Dehli said we'll set up some universities as centers of excellence that presently have eighteen national universities out of a total of three hundred and that includes the the better known. I teach the Indian Institute of Technology have all of you heard of the idea is not all right. OK Who has heard of it. OK so about go about two thirds of the audience. So you know these were started in the one nine hundred fifty that was prime minister narrows of grand vision for India to create this technical workforce. He never I think expected that there would not be involved in the manufacturing sector in he was looking at them to make the dams the civil engineers you know construct the heavy machinery that was needed for India's factories it all tied into his vision of a state led process of development where the biggest industries were owned by the state and the I would educate people to feed into that process he didn't dream that they'd be writing software. Today on in his house pointing out almost all the graduates of all the engineering colleges end up in the software industry which is not good and bad as you might imagine. So this policy of sort of doing this had this effect as of one thousand nine hundred seventy four a new process of reform began. We had a fairly low growth in Roman ratio across all fields of education was seven percent in other words if you do the total population and look how many people of that population was enrolled. In college it was seven percent of the eligible population. OK the differing gross a net is you're not separating out how many people in college actually within the eighteen to twenty two year group. What had happened with the Center of Excellence strategy in the context of an economy that was not doing well it was there was a stagnant domestic economy was that the centers of excellence had gotten all the resources and the the rest of the university system got very little. So while. So there was a certain quality that the series had accomplished and the rest were doing really badly. So there was this quality get to the tiny layer of about maybe eighteen of these plus maybe another five or six in the private domain that were funded by large philanthropy cognize it it's about twenty five colleges really that were very good or relatively speaking. And then there was this large quality gap and the rest of them were really bad. The cost. So you know in the context of an overall spending of about four percent of G.D.P. gross domestic product on education. Wasn't that high point six percent so comparable with what other countries would spend. Except that it went on a very small number of people. So where other countries are spending point six two point eight percent. Sometimes even one percent but achieving Brossel enrolment rates of over twenty percent. China being an example of that India was spending a large amount for a very from very little result. Because it was clear that the system therefore was inefficient quality accessibility affordability was an issue as well. Now affordability was an issue because even though the fees were highly the two tional highly subsidized if you wanted quality you had to go to one of these and getting in was extremely difficult. So pretty much you couldn't get in you know. I mean if you just took in engineering at that time the I.E.T.F. produced between them a. About three thousand engineers a year out of sixty thousand. For do. So that was the cream and everything else was pretty much bad. So the system was turning out sixty thousand and read it by hand them the research competence was really poor they didn't have good facilities they had no linkages with industry. So it was you know that's how it was so it was fairly. And so in around and it was driven by the political elite you know narrowest prime minister and his successors Mrs Gandhi Rajiv Gandhi they all believed that this is what you needed to do well. They really saw through they never really saw failure which is what's interesting. They would you know you'd get these lovely articles about how good the I.E.T.F. were they could be employed overseas. And all fifty percent of the graduating class of the Ayat is still quite recently used to come to the U.S. for their for graduate work. Now you might ask why would you know it's not that's not the ratio you see in the U.S. It's not that fifty percent of the best schools undergraduates all go and do a master's degree or a Ph D.. Mostly they come for their Ph D.'s. The reason was there was no opportunity in India. So the this was a way of escaping me now that we are seeing for example a select Stanford that the applications for Ph D. program in hearing a scumming down from India. Because people are not really the one never really interested in doing a Ph D. in the first it was just an escape route to get out of the country. Now that they're seeing opportunities in their employment in jobs that they're staying back. So what changed. This was in one thousand nine hundred seven regional politics took over they grabbed bar as a result of the failure of the system. And so suddenly the system became driven by the states rather than by New Delhi. And the state said one they said is you know we we're taking responsibility in a bigger way so enough of this taking away all the resources for these few universities. And what we were. And to do is be going to provide it to New Delhi being very weak in an era of coalition government agreed. And then the state said well we can't really provide it directly with the other spend our research and that by the way they took away all that money for primary and secondary education as well and they pushed all their money into primary and secondary education and that's what the people wanted. You know even today you have second be an ornament rate of thirty five percent that's gone up. That was less than thirty percent in one thousand nine hundred seventy. But for higher education they said we'll encourage the private sector to come up. Immediately no New Delhi good day why didn't they force through a law which said that even if you have private provision it should be not for profit because they thought it would look good if you had for profit private provision. So what the state had to accept that. So they came up with this compromise that nonprofit private provision would be encouraged. So whole set of new rules were drafted to make it possible for the private sector to enter and provide higher education. So fast forwarding to ninety two thousand and eight. So the growth in Rome and has substantially increased from seven to twelve percent comparatively said China has about twenty to twenty five percent somewhere around twenty. The the gov the states cost if you add public and private space sector spending on G.D.P. is still a very affordable point eight percent. When are you turning out four hundred thousand engineering grads a year. I said most are headed for the ID industry. The private sector is pretty much taken over eighty five percent of provision is private in engineering. Overall it's sixty percent for the system as a whole in engineering eighty five percent. Can you guess what. This is one new P.D. and one. What is the per day. There's one new college opening in India every day. So that's the rate of growth at all in the private sector for that with an average in Rollman to over four years of fifteen hundred students or roughly four hundred. That people are taken in every day and when you call it so the dramatic change in the system you can imagine what this means as a growth rate of about twenty five thirty percent in the system at this point are you know people who look at the software industry in India and say or by what's going to happen to the salaries as this industry grows. Well this is the answer the growth of people is even because of what I'm seeing is actually the salary problem being all salaries rising faster than inflation that's change and salaries now started coming down in India for example afresh and you nearing graduate on average gets about seven thousand dollars per annum. Not a man by them to start working in the ID industry. You know one of the good forms like D.C.'s Infosys or Wipro. And that's come down actually a little bit over the last two years or so so so interesting things and therefore you hope you get a sense of how those questions I raise it. How are developed countries respond. Is actually producing the quality it's certainly producing the quantity at an amazing pace. But what's happening to quality and if it's worth it in terms of quality Why is it working where it failed so miserably and also we look at other countries efforts China for example is a good case study of way they've expanded the system even more than in the year five million students enrolled in engineering colleges. But the quality is a big problem here again the similar situation as India had here right Michel you have this or this creamy layer at the top which is very good and then you have a big huge gap and then all the. Thirty answered but same tile in the state provide the domain. Whereas India has shifted entirely to the private. I'm not saying this necessarily good model for everyone just what looking at but if you look at what most countries have done in the U.S. is very much public rate seventy thirty public to private Russia's eighty five percent public the most countries have adopted a strongly public sector method of providing higher you can. The argument here that I'm going to consider. Is that maybe India offers a new model of which is appropriate for developing countries or the public sector inherently that what you have the state of institutional development of the country is inefficient but I'll give you some numbers later next month. So a large study is currently underway and I'm going to report some of the results of that in the paper that has been made available and it's available right. People can get it if they want. I've done a pilot study of one thousand colleges. I chose Bangalore because that's the center of the ID industry in India. I had connections with several recruited for several companies like Google Yahoo or prods on all of which gave me their rankings of colleges. So I was able to take the the rankings of colleges as my dependent variable sort of trying to explain the ranking in terms of the internal functioning so we went in and interviewed one thousand colleges in Bangalore and surrounding areas that provide like a catchment area for Bangalore's idea industry and we went in and never even interviewed them looked at recruitment faculty autonomy costs infrastructure industry linkages the profile of students where the coming from. And the new mattered against the rankings we had from the recruiting companies. So some of the interesting things were in this approach it that I'm doing with the Ministry of Education in India and actually it's a multi country study comparing Russia China India Brazil with the U.S. you know when I this me I was with the with the Planning Commission with this apex body in India part of the government which determine standards of education and how much money to allocate for education. And I'm talking to a senior advisor on higher education and I'm saying well what do you think about the private colleges and he's a government guy and he says this drug called is a terrible you know they don't pay the faculty enough. They you know they offer very poor quality of education the infrastructures. A poor they just surviving because this is huge demand from the ID sector. And they're fully People in effect and I said what about access you know. Can a poor student in a small town. Not find a college just because the private sector is everywhere. And he said no no. Do you clean There's no chance. So I said what about an agriculturist for example a farmer you know two thirds of India's population still live in the rural areas would a farmer's child be able to access an engineering college and he said on thinkable you know. So we were doing with designing a questionnaire together. Of exiting students in their forty year as to what they saw as their job prospects. And one of the questions we had said What's your social economic background and we give options such as son often of a farm worker or a child of a farm worker and you know income levels below hundred thousand rupees per year. Which is about two thousand dollars a year. So this advice said you can strike out both of these categories. You know it's not possible for the son of a farm worker remembered ringing in my ears not possible for the son of a farm worker or someone earning less than one hundred thousand rupees a year to enter an engineering college and just a few days later I was in Bangalore where I was looking at some of our survey data. And the very first questionnaire that had been filled out by a student actually moved me it was it was the daughter of a farm worker who had joined a college. Sorry got emotional. But anyway the findings are that the Sealy model the center of excellence model is very successful. What this means is that you know that the government has created these eighteen colleges funded them heavily relied heavily on American curriculum and teaching so they try and recruit faculty have been trained in the. States bring them to India in a paid them reasonably well not very well actually. At present the cap on salaries is just fifty thousand rupees per month. So you know your best more senior professor hundred thousand dollars a month. So even the dynamite argue that professors underprivileged in the U.S. as well. Are far more underprivileged in India. So the idea is currently paid that much so. But because of high funding and the able to do that and sudden momentum in the system where they had you know faculty committed to teaching not to research this model was successful in generating a certain quality of students that the best companies like Google Adobe Yahoo. India operations and not just in the operational even their overseas operations are found valuable for example Google in Mountain View and in Silicon Valley. Tells me that they regularly recruit from the Iraqis for their Mountain View operations and and so obviously they can do that because they find that the quality is suitable. Now what we found is that the private providers. Have filled the quality gap between the centers of excellence and the state colleges. So what's happened is that the public colleges which were very bad have continued to be very bad. There's still this big gap between the best public colleges the I D's which are nationally run and the province run public colleges but the private providers have very quickly within this ten year eleven year period since they were allowed in. Films with quality gap between the centers of excellence and the state colleges. And the result is that India now has a good what might best be called an undergraduate factory model. It can churn them out at the rate of four hundred thousand a year compared with the U.S. turns out less than one hundred thousand engineers a year. So you can turn them out at four hundred thousand a year growing at twenty five percent a year. And the quality is at least good enough. For the Indian ID industry. They say the companies like T.C.S. I'd never heard of D.C.'s emphasis Wipro these are the large Indian software exporters they no longer recruit from this from the C.E.O. institutes the ideas and so on not within their readers can they can get them the Google Yahoo and so on. Take whatever's available but they only turn out five thousand people a year that's nothing. You know five thousand out of four hundred thousand is one something percent so that doesn't fulfill the need of the software industry which needs to go in the middle. So they go here. And this is a very important development because what this means is one question this race is what role has industry played in improving the quality of the private colleges because it almost you think about it in an eight to ten year time frame. How likely would it be that a system a new system would emerge of adequate quality. It would almost unthinkable. Certainly the those who allowed it in the the bureaucrats and the policymakers they felt that there was absolutely no chance of the private providers would provide anything of quality at best they assumed at best the private providers would be at the margins. Maybe doing five ten percent. They never ever imagined eighty five percent of provision and that they would actually fill the quality gap. So this is what one needs to really explain next one. Please. Some other features access is now wider and more affordable. So Bangalore sits in the state of Connecticut as the capital of the state of Karnataka and you know every town. So it's a it's us it's a state with about maybe twenty downs or so. So it's a fairly large state and Bangalore has a population of about six million the next largest Mangalore has about two million and then of course the others are much smaller. So you can get a sense of but every last one of those towns has at least a tier three private college many have two Year two there now about three hundred. Private college engineering colleges in Karnataka Bangalore alone has over one hundred K. so the result is access is wider it's also more affordable. So in going from a non-existent public system where the touche and was low to an existing private system where the two ssion is two or three times that of the public system affordability is increased and he gets his way Access surely right because more out there. Why would you to afford something that cost two and a half times more than you did in the public system. Yes. So two reasons one is bank finance mostly so some sort of finance is is available in many cases. So that's like explains about half the answer and the other reason is. You no longer have to go move out of home. If you can work from your house. So earlier if you wanted to attend a college you'd have to go to the nearest big town probably Bangalore and Bangalore the cost of renting the room because they know that the college has never had dorms and so on because a rented room would be more than your tuition. So it does it. You know the whole economics would be it spent about fifty sixty thousand rupees a year of jeans what fifty rupees to a dollar. So about twelve hundred dollars a year just for the room. In addition you'd pay the tuition whereas now you get the education for less than a thousand dollars a year. So that's one interesting outcome second catch up in less than a decade. So what we're finding is the way they have done it is pretty much taking you know I mean MIT Open Courseware has been a godsend for them. OK So this is this is what they use yes to if you have mighty should be praised. So you denigrate so. So this is the. Reason and they're just it the curriculum the textbooks everything you know they look at videos they come here study deeply what the American system is like mimic it. They have the same bandwidth and access to journals as at the U.S. You know I found even the small colleges that I visited tier three colleges they also fair to Tripoli they have the same bandwidth they all have just or so they have the same access electronic access as the best us. University system. Because it's so cheap you know just my cost fifteen hundred dollars a year easily affordable. Yes yes internet absolutely crucial. Absolutely. GROSS even though the courses are talk life the Internet is not a medium of education but the content is taken from here and they have training tie ups with American colleges and so on the better ones do. They're also paying much better. So compared to the state colleges which kept a salary of fifty thousand rupees a little over a thousand dollars a month. Private colleges will start you off two times and if you're in eyes you progress a system made on four times. That's enough for times that is two hundred thousand rupees about five thousand four thousand dollars in. A month in India which is a really good salary would be considered bad style if I condemn Ixia in many places as you probably know but it's certainly an outstanding salary for India that at that salary you can live very well. You'd be so in the top ten percent of the country's income. You're certainly not the case for faculty here. So they're able to do that because they have this demand you know. Even very interesting ninety percent of the students finally a project are not done with industry from something that was zero even at the best colleges is now ninety percent even for the mediocre. Now the reason it's happened and this needs more investigation I'm still working on this but what we think is my coworkers and I call researchers and I is that the larger eighty four months are the ones who make this possible. Because they're employing pretty much the entire output of the industry. And they can't access the cream because too few of those. They need to work with are middle level colleges. And to make sure that that works well if it doesn't work they'll have to train those students. After they graduate in in-house colleges which is what they were doing a few years ago. So it makes sense from an economy point of them for them to work closely with them. So what do they actually do. One is big patiently rank every call it's all the top ID firms in India. You know top three for sure and several others that I know of the day we look at all the colleges in their catchment area so for a national company like T.C.S. did they rank or a thousand out of India's four thousand colleges. You know one in forces which is based in a different state ranks another thousand Wipro which is also in Karnataka ranks about fifteen hundred US. So this ranking system is very powerful because what it means is that every college now has a rank. Given to it by ear of credit a worthy bodies sometimes something that the market will trust. And so you know and so it's very common now for a student to go to a college if even though this is not published a student will go to a college and say so in Chennai ready C.S. is very strong and they want your D.C.'s ranking. And the college is not obliged to reveal that information and the recruiter will go with another company a small I.T. company will go to a college and say I'm interest in recruiting some of your students. What's your D.C.'s ranking. And they may choose not to reveal was a don't really there are many others at the top end who will that automatically my. Those that don't reveal at the lower end. So in effect you have Revelation all of them have an incentive to reveal their anchoring and so it becomes publicly known. So that's one important role that these ID forms are they're played the role of revealing to the market the quality of different institutions and when that happens then the private colleges have an incentive to move up because all the good students will go to the are good colleges so then they tend to invest more of those you would imagine why would they invest all this if they wanted to just make money out of it. Secondly the I.T. firms recognise that the quality of the students coming in may not be that good but a lot of work can be done with the help so they're actively involved themselves with the colleges in terms of giving faculty consultants even if they think the faculty won't do as good a job as the I it is. The top I.T. form to me they'd rather give projects to these low in front because that operates the quality of the faculty. So they actively in World them even multinationals get involved in that Texas Instruments for example has collaboration with five hundred colleges in India. Most of them private where they give their kids in the teaching and really high end design capabilities other such a Microsoft endowed chair and so on. So the large ID forms are doing a lot to upgrade the quality. So this I think has been the crucial difference what's made it possible in ten years for a system to go from zero to something that's reasonably alright. And finally the private colleges add to system viability because they all cover because many of them make money. Because it's a public private partnership in the sense that the government provides some support. So in the typical model. The government pays for about seventy five percent of the students. And twenty five percent of the students the private college can charge what it likes for Touche and that's where they make their money to an interesting model that when we go. Exists uneasily because twenty five percent of students pay a lot more than the other seventy five percent and those twenty five percent probably not that meritorious to start with because they're the ones who get in because they can be the field but they're crucial to the viability of the system to give you some idea of costs. So B.S. Institute of Technology in Bangalore is where tier two college. Is to Sion charge per year is fifty thousand rupees. Its cost of running the whole system is forty five thousand rupees per student. So you can see that they're doing quite alright. They're actually making some money which is good and that's based on that you know fifteen twenty five twenty five model so that these are averages across all the students'. Idea three college which is in the public sector domain. They we're here College in indoor which is a small town in my depredation. Their tuition fees are half This is a typical public sector Touche and fee twenty five to thirty thousand. And their costs are much higher seventy five thousand so they rely on on state subsidy heavily so you can see they're providing a poorer quality education they've been around for donkey's years they are far nicer in terms of campus space in hundreds hundreds of acres less it works out of a twenty acre campus. Here where the quality is significantly better. The ideas of the. The gods of the masters of the system here one of their tuition fees a little more than the Tier three significantly below what they are able to charge. But the cost is substantially higher. So this is actually means that this is don't really couldn't have been replicated all over the country. It was just under forty it's OK if you do it as a center of excellence strategy to demonstrate certain things you can make it widespread. Compare really the average us to one state university is seven thousand and twenty thousand. China averages one thousand in two thousand. So you can see even compared with China while China's efficiency rate for a further two year one looks better than the I E D's right this is two thousand one hundred thousand rupees roughly the idea spend twice that and but what you can see is that compared to a. You know this of course. It's far more expensive that the city forty five thousand the cost. Here is double that. Over this is D O one and these are still tier two by and large compared with Russia of course you also can see the number so what you can see is you know you have the beginnings of a viable system what's out obviously but already very clear in sort of follow up interviews is that the best private colleges are not reaching to your one status. OK particularly those in the southern states of India where there's an active relationship between industry and the institution. Now in terms of how important go back when not yet ready for this. In terms of what does this mean in practice you know people often say India's advantage in software is what that they speak English. So one reason people say Right China has not been able to succeed in software is they don't speak English. Because of butter and Russell would point to them we speak English for years. Right now who was in My Fair Lady or to judge but the choice. In America at least. So the theory is so that my argument is that actually English is not that important. And as evidence I presented the slate. So next one trees. So you see the servos of a New York bank maintained from a small town in India small by Indian standards two million people live in the town of in-doors of India's poorest downs. It's a base year so I have been trading center because it's the capital of a state mother predation where the you know where most. So I've been in this produced but even in this small town where the electricity goes off and at one thirty in the morning comes back at nine thirty at night. So you're down to party ring the day you see your software company and I. There are all fifty such software companies in India that export services to the U.S. This particular one was maintaining the servers of a New York bank. Look at the infrastructure you see the leaky walls. You see the you know this water if it's not like a luxury over here we don't need to drink bottled water in India. If you didn't ring the bottle what it immediately. Fall is if you drank the tap water. So it's a necessity of the guy who's standing up. You can. He's the owner. You can see is the owner because he's smiling. He had twenty two people cramped in this room of about eight hundred square feet or so. OK And he was doing so well it just took me proudly to his new facility which was next door which is another eight hundred square foot room intend to cramp another twenty two people. But what's interesting is this chap. OK. What's interesting about him is that he doesn't speak good English at all to communicate with him I had to speak in Hindi I could not speak to an english. OK so he's an engineer trained at that Davy a Hillier university that I mentioned earlier the State University in indoor he gets a salary of three hundred dollars a month which is a very good salary from his point of view it's more than his family has ever and at its peak he commuted to work by bus very content with being there. I mean for him. It's an excellent salary. He's very good at coding. So in trying to understand how this combination works twenty two like him or twenty one like him one like him. This guy is sophisticated he's actually worked in New York he's the one who got the business. He travels frequently and he you know he's the most innocent he's the guy who mediates in English. It's not necessary for him to knowingly unless he need to talk with clients who need that sort of language so most of them do not. In the cases where he does talk to clients it's mostly to resolve technical problems not to talk about customer requirements. That's done by this guy the standing guy this person will talk occasionally to clients that engineers in New York and purely on technical issues and things like Goodnight. My presumption was that coding is its own language to get to get talked he noticed. That's what counts. You know. And to model that works very well. So for twenty one out of the twenty to work as a knowledge of a sophisticated knowledge of English is not needed. You need sort of enough to pick up from her. Hello. Can we chat about this that other stuff and then they go into court because the other interesting question I had was when I visited this and several other outfits in indoor was how do you manage electricity if the power goes off in one thirty in the morning because they couldn't one thirty in the night. What do you do so. He said this is how we manage next likeliest So car batteries are his primary source of power is a During the day one thirty in the morning to one thirty at night they run on car batteries the grid is a backup source of power the grid only come become the main source of power at night because they're working twenty four hours. Well if I was a client of that bank and maybe one of those that went bust and if I'd be too thrilled by seeing this sort of set up you know. But you know it works. He was as I mentioned he was doubling capacity. So this is what sort of interesting in the way that you have these operations spread all over the country based on an education system. That. In a very unexpected way is delivering quality. OK So let me sort of wrap up with a few points next a place. So the first five two pages this is a summary of the findings and then the research questions. First the implications for India. What does it tell us about the system so what I have concluded and this of course is the first stage of a bigger study. So it should be taken with those caveats in mind this is a system that delivers quality. Is affordable. And has resisted viability in other words the system doesn't lose money within ten years. That's remarkable. Second what quality means is technical competence. These are a production of of students who are suited for writing code but for things like entrepreneurship global project management skills. There's a big get it. That's what the companies that have to teach them to do so even now when the C.S.R. in forces or Wipro recruits one of these engineers they don't let her or him talk to clients for another year or so when the U.S. should be come out of a good university from Georgia Tech you're straightaway thrown into the workforce you're talking to plants you know on various issues for about nine months to a year they will train the student but the good thing is where earlier they were training them on technical competence they're not training them on project management. And how to understand risk. You know how so different sorts of issues there's a different type of skills that is still needed. What we have here is an undergraduate factory research is not on the agenda of these private colleges it's barely on the agenda of. Top level public colleges but now my argument in the something that I'm working with the Planning Commission and the Mr education on is that the centers of excellence should now shift to research a country can survive forever by playing catch up women things are developing in India domestic markets are developing India can be a hub for many other countries just of South Asia certainly but also East Africa the Middle East where the cultural parameters are not that different. It's essentially actions can shift to research firms have played as I pointed out a very key role of making the market. So these are the implications for India and how it should develop its system going forward. For governance model. It shows that what we found is privatisation has played an important role what we found is that they haven't talked about it much the decentralization the more autonomy was given to faculty over things like choosing celebrate. A course development the better the quality of the college so there's a clear ranking matching that the higher rank colleges were those that were more decentralized and third is the those that had greater industry linkages So you know we asked colleges to tell us about the link be found again a match between the linkages and the quality of those are greater linkages had higher quality. So what are the implications for developed countries and multinational companies. So India is currently turning out technically competent people so that can be leveraged because it means the U.S. can rely on that and also move up ahead. Danny and I were talking earlier of how companies are doing this for example you have. Semiconductor networking companies making companies like Cisco Motorola and so on. They're shifting a lot of their work to India design work we heard earlier they did it in-house because they see that those technical skills are now available in the U.S. in the U.S. that has to move to higher technologies are mixed. Technologies and so on. And you know the multinationals are actively embracing them in their helpings are making multinationals are making this process even more possible by I mention the Texas Instruments program the Microsoft chair and so on. OK so the research questions that this raises and some of these you know I'm not looking at all of them. I am in our project. What is the cost. So we know that the public what the public cost is we still have to get a sense of the total cost private and public. Of hired. Cation as a share of G.D.P.. And then do a comparison to what extent is India's success in engineering education due to its unusual success in I.T. Hussam a strange situation that if you look at engineering. It's doing well. We look at other disciplines history. You know that in the arts. There's hardly any change in the enrollment numbers or in the quality it's where it was ten years back. It's where it is now because the change has happened because of private sector involvement and the private sector has chosen to focus on the immediately marketable feel so you might imagine like engineering law management studies and so on. How does one create research competence still a question. Maybe the C.E.O.'s shift might help but one does know. And finally have we discovered a new approach it does indeed offer a replicable paradigm to other countries particularly emerging countries consisting of a somewhat unusual public private partnership not for profit private provision regulator intrusiveness exists in faculty and students election but it's flexible enough for good institutions it's much less. And very new development cause it basically mimicking curricula of mimicking everything possible and spending very little on curriculum development you're getting a free ride on the work done in other countries. And you know and and of course it depends very highly on a university industry. I think yes OK So that pretty much wraps up my presentation in a very good audience. Thank you. I hope you'll have some questions we should do is what you want to open up for questions. OK in your mind. Yes. That would be. Why. You can't work because of coding and so on there. What do they look for that. I haven't found that in India too and I see that I don't consider sense in the I T's. I see that arrogant approach in a sense. Look sound arrogant in the eye and he graduates and they all want to be managers within two or three years of graduating if they don't see that clear box then they want to join a company or it has to be a very high end multinational like Google that hires them but not the rest. I mean these four hundred thousand people. My sense was women based on whatever. We've interviewed and also our exit survey showed great deal of satisfaction with their education most I mention that girl I mean for her the child of a family to come to college would be have been unthinkable ten years ago. It's a gets a paradigm shift for them. Be not to say from a child of a farmhand to be a graduate of a college you know at the back and then you have to grill good. Yes. So the model is that the private provider. Sorry yes I mean repeat the question the question is that when the college begins who provides the initial capital expenditure for land for a building plant and so on. Dabs and so on. Did or does it grow organically from a small outfit and then expands into a full fledged institution. So what happens in India is that a private party has to apply for a license to open a college. So they go to the state government and say that we feel we are qualified based on academic competence and capital. And they apply to the government for allocation of land. So land is given to them at a highly subsidized rate and the government has certain parameters and if you want so many students and so then you have to show that much capital and there were a minimum size of fifteen hundred students over a four year period to for an engineering college which is why that's what the starting point is then they'll give you land that something like twenty percent of market price and then you have to ensure that you will be able to provide the rest of the capital to reach operations. So that cost that number that I gave you that first forty five thousand to be that's an all in cost into the cost of depreciation and amortization as well as interest costs of them. Yes So once you get a license for a college there are various ways. These are formed is not for profit trusts. So they can really they can get borrowing which most of them do or somebody has to contribute philanthropically most of them are based on a mix of the two I would I don't know it's a good question to find out what that ratio is but I would guess it's probably half and half. I need I can check. You know because it's a good question. The question is that when people come from the low costs of the cost system in India. As many of you would not a broadly speaking there are forecasts the two upper class the Brahmins in the country and you have the middle and lower class and then behind that you have the untouchables terms of percentage of population the upper castes The two upper class make up what twenty percent of the populations. SO IT TO percent of everybody else. So the question is do they discriminate and the government has a whole lot of policies on this. They have reservation. Which applies even in the private colleges or you have to take a certain percentage of the students have to be from the untouchable classes or they don't as yet have a defined policy for the middle which is over fifty percent of the population which also considers itself to be a backward cost. But what's happening in practice is because these private colleges need students they will take you if you can pay. So in that. So what happened is typically the lowest cost groupings because they've come from much broader primary and secondary education backgrounds end up not getting in on merit. OK So they're struggling with this issue that they can't get in unless they pay and they're typically poor as well. But here's where again the outside system comes to help so because once you get into a good college. Or even a tear to you're pretty much guaranteed a job or a dragon I pointed out these four hundred thousand students the year two tier three all taken up by the I.T. industry. OK And it's plenty of demand from other industries as well I mean you know automobiles. So and so forth. So there's excess demand right now for these and you know. They all get placed and so for the moment. Money is available bank money will be available trust money will be available to educate them. So it's turning out to be quite a level of people it for the first time this private system is giving access to those in the lower costs as well. Nancy a question and he follows your book in the new. So the career path typically is they would be at the basic level for about five years and during those five years. Their salary might go by about ten percent a year or so. So maybe doubles in five years or so or seventy two years. At the end of five years. If they're found suitable and then they'd have to do many other things that show suitability certainly their command of English would have to improve with time. They'd have to show project management skills. They would be moved up now at this point there's so much demand for them that those who are good white leave even earlier if they were good. Generally speaking in smaller towns people stay longer in farms. So in a Bangalore you'll see much faster churn. Of companies like Motorola or Google or Yahoo which pay above what we produce yet in forces Bay would keep looking out for resumes from these companies are they viewed as fabulous training grounds you know if you're within a year of the system you're talking to clients. That's a good system. So with brown they accept that. So what. That's what again makes it very interesting that the larger. Firms are willing to play this role of patiently ranking each universe City training the engineer for a year. When they know they're going to lose fifteen twenty percent but that's a cost that they can afford to bear now so the question raises to me is if we didn't have the structure of an industry and a few large firms dominating the industry you take the top six. They have seventy percent of the industry between them. You have three thousand companies in the software industry in India and seventy percent of the industry's revenue is generated by the top. And so that's what makes it possible for them to afford the social cost of the ranking them educating them they don't mind a fifteen twenty percent leave every year to go to another institution year. Of. So corruption from the level of state regulators into the best educational system such as the I T S. I showed itself in a particular way. It didn't affect recruitment of students or recruitment of faculty So those things. There's a common entrance exam called the G E. Joint entrance examination that all the eighty's administer and then which is also used by many other colleges and it's very hard to get into and then the on that pretty much it ensures that the ID is a very good. I mean I had someone from. Google tell me only two weeks ago he's the one in charge of the global recruiting and he says he's from when I see young graduates and he said to me the ideas in India period don't add any value to the students. It's just that they're so good when they come into my great taking that very top layer. I'm not saying I agree with that I'm saying this is of you. And so you come in there and that quality then goes out you know the faculty for many years till this recent pressure of private salaries and recruiting people away from the ideas as a result of which not. In one computer science department in any of the it is police stuffed they're all heavily under stuff because they can only pay fifty thousand rupees and the government is just last week announced a revision of the limits to eighty thousand rupees hopefully that will keep them. But what's happening is that the faculty have always been attracted to the idea it was the only place you could do some research and get a fairly good quality of students so you had a very dedicated faculty where the corruption showed was in that number you saw the two hundred thousand rupee expenditure. If you go to the institution and you compare it you find that the private colleges offer much better infrastructure the labs have internet access. Everything is a superior quality and they're charging forty five thousand to be the cost of forty five gaieties despite completely free land all the infrastructure paid for many years ago cost two hundred thousand to be so that's where the corruption is intensive you know in maintenance facilities infrastructure we would have you know if you visited any of the Ids they all look pretty crumbly even now you know a few may be you know Delhi has got some sort of face lift. But they all look terrible. So there's plenty of corruption but thanks to privatisation matters much less. You know. Yes yes. Your question is that why would the software companies are willing to train people and then lose them right. Rank them. Investors. So this process of ranking is done by the top ten or so which together have ahead of as I said about it. The top eight have seventy percent of the market. The did they don't have those people to each other much they lose them to those who are outside the system the big multinationals the Googles and saw who basically want to ready product they're not willing to invest time in getting that ready because they're in a rational. From and a fake one interesting sidelight of that is I was asking the recruiters at D.C.'s and withdraw for the last few months that in the downturn are you reducing your recruitment they said no because we have a one year cycle we recruit Now we're not going to face the client for another year so they have to look at demand one year on end of the door of them expecting things will recover by then so so that so the free ride is taken by the two thousand nine hundred ninety small software companies on the ten who wreck out of the treat other than that. You know one at the back problem. Yes to other forms of engineering as you mean to nearing survives as a field. So your question is what happened to the ID industry. No longer plays this role of being so important to a system. I worry about that question as to whether they would be able to shift to other fields. I mean if you asked them they would say yes because anyway if a lot of the courses are common that for the first two years. They're all taking core courses anyway and they really only begin to specialize in the computer science related fields from the thirty onwards. So they would have to shift that component to others. I think they're hoping everyone's hoping by then they have reached out and devils of quality that they can offer to any any industry but I don't know the answer to that. Yes You know I haven't thought about it enough. There are different models around the world you have de East Asian system where you have independent centers of research or I take the Korea Institute of Science and Technology where they're also doing teaching now and then you have you know in Germany also you have some separation in the US it's to a large extent integrated. Within the university system so it's hard to say which one makes more sense. I don't think they're going to give up their teaching function as a political Riyad. So they would try and combine teaching with the sides but I don't have any thoughts on that ANY Yes yes you're right. Yeah yeah I don't know the answer that could cost me.