In the allegations that I
talked about the media there

were a situation where a lot
of promises get better for

a lot of the story from the right.

So it's very good.

But I like this very concrete
reference to talk about online

musician or explain what was what that
means and second part of the doctors

were very smart for themselves and

had a very very good start
on exactly this topic and

there's a lot of interesting results but
it's more important than the start time

of the last modernization.

Let me go back to the blogs.

OK I can remember when it's ready here.

It's a small so
that's how it was detected.

If you want to build
that service users model

just have to see what was formed in the
past given to decide to make predictions

for the day except for
the following letter they found

the first six months of
training said seven six months

if you train a subset of this last year.

What happens if you cheat that happens
train on the test and it has a value.

It's my whole fact of time in Texas right.

Objective.

No never trained instead straining to

train except for the first six months
in a test that spends its money.

You see yet has put your life and so

on introduce you to understand
what's wrong about if you take for

example this particular solution then you
can see whole world tend to over time but

it's with us here just shows over
different periods of time i tell me of

the tech that's what's the utility you can
see that initially because it's pretty

well the data on a text it's in some sense

of it is not very against this

so I want to do is going to come up
with letting those laws to continue or

let's think about making what time
I do think about the actually have

explicit be quantified the performance
of a particular set of laws over

the six in such a good
time to write to me how

to function in that fight
with just a date or

time I saw the function of time and

then what you can try to do as we can
try to always answer your records

over time as well as possible
right to be able to do so.

Yes I want to maximize our
performance over time.

The question is if a lower self that's
what you want to show then you want

to maximize it's want to see the largest
piece of these and sponsored search.

If you go to Google and
you search for something in cars and

there's this box in the right
light that gives you one thousand.

Really want to go to buy cars but
I think some of

the site hold they actually want to
choose the seven type display which might

know their predominant model and
sponsored search to cater for the model

only gets paid if someone
clicks any doubts.

So he's a very very simplistic model

because there's been a lot of work on
sponsored search but I'd like to cast

themselves modernizations it's a very
simplistic model suppose every Around

the time you pick a style
rides to your shop.

It's going to be cheap and
then you sell rights and

this user has something lined
up that he's looking for right.

So maybe he hasn't said yes he adds.

But unknown to that is the to
click on how you should want

to be defined objective function F.
keep the taste the set of ads be sure

twenty and it's just one if you
happen to try one of the red cards

because they take them out and
selects the sequence

of depends on your decisions at time T.

and if you want to
compare maximized to some

to both of those problems can be
formalized as online learning problems

used online only currently you
perceive for kept a few rolls

of the old fixed number and
every round you have to

make a decision you have to pick
an element eighty two out of the set

and decisions will be decided from
ten which will last you can vary

and then the reward F.T.
that maps the set.

Actually you could have taken two or
three about.

OK now.

OK And so this point is you
still have to value it tries but

the art of that and then Nature
reveals something to the camera and

could either reveal sectary board function
F. T. right which is maybe the right

setting this last election setting where
because after a certain amount of time

pounds I can calculate Hopewell I would
have done by exact set of laws for what

this case happened during that period of
time and that's all I said all your words

I don't get to find all of these actually
clicks on this article that it's at

and it's out meet me to see
the decision maker status.

That's what's really bad.

Well it's the best the coolest
Doug hate sites against it.

It's all go all the to the end of
this of this game after a couple key

rounds and you look at all
the reward functions at once retie

if you want to maximize
a long list of words.

What's the best you could possibly get.

So for example ten cents.

If the goal is to usually uses normal
who's going to click on one right.

But you also have to make
the same recommendations.

How much you want to go and
he subtract from it but

they actually write the story.

It's just a want to be
part of this report and

it's about the story best
when you want to write.

And just.
Usually be interested in Nori best albums

out in switches that grows
very slowly particularly

the Arab treatments
are divided by keep costs down.

So Irish lost some sense of dollars
by not knowing your customers.

And it's just a huge amount
of work on the street for

a little over ten riders feel.

But what's important to us that this
is that they are already articles

I read where people settle for
information and that setting

that is possible to get the right size but
their bones but

it can get depend on the size of
the decisions you have right right.

Of course if you think about
choosing from income to target sets

of actions where you have to choose
which sets of advertisements about

which sets of blocks one to
records might have a clue toward

large set of propositions and
the some numbers it's much less just

what happens in the setting of course that
we only get you so she's not always warm.

There's nothing right with a beautiful
work out is that the subject functions

as a model and that's a lot of very
interesting work in this period of time

so I believe this is the first time
about all that's what musician.

It's various people by it's treated it
all and I've noticed that too doesn't it.

And it's about three messages
if you're smart and the idea

effectively replicate the video but
on the effort.

Well because actually trying to
learn which tends to be argued that.

Well suppose you want to pick here want
to maximize it was that's outside ski

run kid.

Expert on this one lead any of them
to a very balanced individual but

he's here for balance and each of
those are real men are responsible for

making one hundred missions which
at a time to go to show which lot.

OK So each of those recommends one
elements from the set of possible chances

and this comes out sets and
that's how the set is going to be picked

and well if you want to use source or
liberally albums.

You have to sign or give them credit for
what they have to give some feedback and

that's very important that is
to feed back to the G.S.T.

on their journey of just a marginal
game of the G. If it's very very well so

it just says this is the marginal game
that this is I didn't provide it.

So that's how the place I know I
mentioned that this is true that

it's full information setting but you
can somehow go back to auditor side and

see what they could have done had he
chosen a different set of laws and

A spend isn't the only year to see
the word is actually placed on it.

Right right.

And the phone to me said until you can
compute the computers quantity and

it's particles metal bands
that are in the cards but

it turns out it's possible to get unbiased
estimates which is sufficient for phones.

Probably and here.

Here's what kind of
seems good neighbors and

we are well it turns out it's no regrets.

So it's competitive with
the best you could have done it.

Hindsight someone tells you all the some
of the functions that are right over

the few rounds but clearly we shouldn't
be able to compute the optimal solution.

That's an N.P. hard problem if we can
only compete with younger planted inside.

OK so if you look at what is the community
reward over the time steps but your pain.

Using decisions have made over time but
there are times that I've ever had and

I'm sure to the user then they're
We've already got it at least

this controversial format is one of three
of what we could have done had you know

all the subject but had to commit to
a single except minus some quantity in red

that this was our last I just lost
grows slower growth slightly so

that means if you look at the average loss
that he gets to bite both sides by keep

this average lost some sort of
selling this actually gets lower

regrets over his cheating on with
that he had several slides and

he has this A little yes and
it's just cited for granted.

Exactly.
It's a different story.

And so it's just a side of
the truss that drives that project.

OK better and
it's in all those work actually read it.

Well there's lots of that problem.

And so here we are going to
have this young people sat

right next time in days in the white
system but it isn't always the performance

the college the performances that we
often get some answers about what about

if one is you can look at small and
she wants to be able to get and

actually gets variables to
score one individual about

forty six minutes or
actually say what is right.

What's the best you can learn
to sense in order to or

from its author but

I just wonder about online
optimizations what functions but

since then there has
been quite a bit of work.

This was so
that's been part of the for going on.

Let's more from exposition set of common
knowledge constrained optimization.

So to my friends particular property
constraints you can also get

sexually motivated by
an online version of them.

That's a slightly different but
it's part of the total I could also

think about and
decide whether they have to see

what's going to be most
useful to the parable.

And then there's also the work that's
a great spectacle in the setting

that if you already have a good basis for

the various people by

then for
the next intersection you can also write

some of the coverage problem actually
saying I want to find a certain value

very certain formulation of this
coverage problem coverage problem.

The coverage problem by

the form of this online smart
car which probably much more

attractive in terms of problems
like this that was started by

various It's not a final

part about minimisation It's been more
about online so I can stay with us.

Using using it on my.

When we buy it at sunset and
cut this off until recent very own life.

It's OK so I don't say

Well I love music and I'm sorry I
thought I'd like to talk about another

different flavor of the arts.

So I want to call a doctor but
instead of picking a sequence of sets.

She actually was especially
the set painter gives an example.

So I start a little think
about medical diagnosis

vegetarian would like to see
this through medical tests for

example you can take the puppy heart rate
and if the puppy still has heart rate

then you can be to an extreme
depending what you see on the X.

ray want to take a blood sample but
so far sort of test

probably depends on what you heard so
write what

you like to come up with
a policy which tests

as much information as
possible about the rights

of all you must know this problem.

You're just interested in any
single fixed set of items that

the actually just a funny post right.

So nice that you no longer interested in
small comparing different sets of other

attempts are trying to optimize But
you know just an hour comparison policy.

OK But is there a generalized truth that

can be definable for six for

such activities or just so
terrible as a whole

think about the latest photos for of the
year for this medical diagnosis problem

with us is very simplistic model that I
would like to use to be able prior or

diseases of the body get different
diseases that they have to decide.

Straight out just chose the different
values that White can take and

then they can apply different tests and

if you don't know that it
was a very very sick one and

they have been trying probably
just about white and probably

about white never distribution of X.
given Y..

OK let's look at this in the study where

this distribution actually
determine this spot if it's white.

I also fits well if I want to test for

example if I find out that the pope yes
Steve or I get rid of some of those right.

If you think it's inconsistent
with what it seems fine.

OK it's again if I'm afraid of
the populace not I come to be some of

those I don't know I can ask.

Well that's not his promise if I want
to consider the value of new test.

I don't know yet what I want to see my
example if I look at the test too if it

comes out of the cell type of person
one my colleagues any questions for

the test question how do you test
in order to live on prototype.

Formalized so I guess you want to think
of it as a subtle actually probably

set of possible tests and
experience whatsoever.

But you can see that from one thread.

Let's see them with
render model submissions.

But I guess if you were to pick one
of those items I think it's medical

tests and that's what's rates and
looking good.

I want to have more of that depends
on what you have selected and

what you have observed
about yeah that's set up.

Now if I'm setting the game.

Try to understand what's
the value of the development

supposed to be post pite which is such

a tree which is actually
just next history it's up

to the next action and

well it's just the average value

that gets posted self-sufficient

power dollars right.

If there was this policy

difference out of our dollars then we'll

be right back to the city

advancements problem is.

Valuable policy and
a fine policy all but after that

item starts to pick up.

Well that's trivialisation of
the stock selection problem.

It's hard.

So it's extremely hard.

So the question is I was there

I know you can if you get
a problem if you're a problem.

Well it's sensible said that as

we are getting ready to do
differently this side of

the wall is a little bit about the future
and in order to do that let's consider

there are probably a generalization
of the marginal game might as well.

S.U.S.E. which is the expected
value of the game by having item X.

conditional of having
already put some items up so

the associated very very good and
slow as well.

It's just a bit over the marginal again I
would get if there was a particular state

X V But let's find out
what's in the know the speed

of all those variables can we take the
expectation with respect to the state and

that's conditional but
everything else for this one it's

There was a central station of
the most of my time again for so

much assumptions and I have seen

video of it just really puts the edge
in the maximize my that's right.

Starts having nothing.

And it's probably just that maximises
expected much less to say well guess what.

Circumstances and

so on but
we all have separation right there.

And yet
the conscious mind is one of these more so

what's an appropriate realisation
propose a generalization.

What you can require is that
the model again satisfy some of

the terms but not defined
conditional on these observations.

So what is required is larger
than ever to take the history

extreme but you put it some tests
are sort of useful feature of variables.

They compare that against a situation
that if you take the large

set of items here and there it was then
the marginal gain of any fixed item X.

must be greater conditionally
given time compared

to my argument that's

their natural generalization of
the term service if you know

how it functions and similarly in
general sports in a city which is

requiring that those
might look at the pencil.

But also petitions already
enough to lift and

actually a number of missiles about
the constraints of modernization.

For example if we have the I
doubt this model a problem.

Instance and it's probably just
depends on the distribution

of those sort of variables then the value
of the policy takes this transfer

funds boundary of the value of
the optimal policy of sixty one and

that's what for example let's talk about

some of those so one example let's talk
about examples of that sort of problem.

One of the statistics I cover.

That's a problem that's.

We decided for it for quite a while and
I saw in the classical set come a problem.

The value of a small subset of those sets.

It's just that I'm kind of
sense instead of having

you can think about not having random
sets the students have a sense

that if they go out several sets of
this little problem for the sets on it

somewhere then down to the area where
the towers depends on some random old file

so they have these
locations in the variables.

It's one to extend and
a set of characters in the balance right.

And so here from instance would
essentially be what it is to

have it ever expects out of a set of

qualified this value for me is just
the area covered in this particular

issue and instead of just
holding on with it and he was

right about off dots of that site and

that turns out to be the smartest
guys I suppose conditions and

there are similar products mission to
the best set of sites Canucks the genesis

of the next hour and also uses I
want to run it to cover everything

that's Genesee Shaktar separate problem
and it gets a little sorrier for

all of your passport functions in this
particular setting by support all look at

statistics more from
exposition which will work

and for the specific parts
of our parish functions.

It's exactly what I've been.

But I wonder why

he was such a different variables

are the terms of the model
the general sense to be talked about

in a previous story all
right I thought it was very

much as possible but
concentrated without the influence but

people see how successful
they are that's what's next.

So in order to maximize
the role of Congress and

The Times also if the product is

part of the network and
given those sites the product.

It turns out is that the money probably
satisfies all of this condition.

So this is what

is probably also asked
if you'd like to see

market penetration in the twenty five
percent market penetration to reach that

level and so

it's just sold by

simulations on a particular

fraction is not over yet.

If you do this is that this election

fight so

let me get back to
the problem to the rest.

Our submission supporters to learn about

the state of the party is quickly
as possible and that if you

polled the fans wouldn't function very
very unclear from its objective function.

Let's just look at the expected merits of
the hypotheses ruled out by the opposition

was there already very awful lot of
marginal gain and it turns out that

this media are going to try to rule out
as much as possible a picture of all of

the state sponsors of the pirate
generalized binary search and

this particular occasion is possible if
you were to maximize bottom very white

and tell if that is the problem
actually very simple.

So I'd like to just show it to you.

So suppose we have this current situation
to be how a bunch of the C.S.S.

left to be Haven't yet to be considered
about these particular test S.

It's not going to do that.

Well there's a certain chance that
the test will come several So

the chances come up that come up.

One is called right to react.

You know what was going off to the media
and using it just a little bit of help.

Right.
You can calculate that the marginal game

of this test in this part of
the situation is two times divided

by Geno plus not not supposed to be
divided into tests but speak of the big

some of those parties in the situation are
jihadists reduce the area to one and be

one and we can look at what's the margin
of the state and yes in this situation.

It was the same on that's before but

of course it's the only other big
mess as it is a very emotional one.

Right.

It's not her sure that
the second party argument.

So she followed her lead and

that's it that's proof
of that as much a very

simple truth turns out for this occasion.

This is actually quite
a bit of work in Syria.

So the previously best problem
was that this is one for

the minister smallest with
these terms of the set up to

get a little distracted for so
this is what's exciting I think it's

more exciting is that the photos from this
one slept through from the previous night.

Yes it was so

noticed but actually so I just found.

It's so can you implement this official So

if you how small of a possible
state flower is everything's fine.

What happens if the table.

It's been a large Right so
that you can just

write one of the first all of
the proximate cause it gets approximate

but it's there you have some
very recent very recent work

our own implement exactly but much more
efficiently pointed to that reference

it had been settling over to
us to be things that actually.

You know what's so
far higher planes on board margins.

This requires flights
that tests our sights.

So all of this noise by
its very specific cell.

OK but it turns out it's you

know you since you can actually
push it too much without problems.

I see a lot of you know formulas.

It's not musician problem that
different beast might want to do that.

So one charge just up if you file for
most if you have a message.

And he states.

Why you're only making this life so
if you're one of the following to

be able to get enough information to make
the right decision about the whole tree.

It's simple.

When you fall asleep in the following day.

What I can do is I can think about

putting myself in this situation
every house or everything.

So I've seen the whole town
every single house and

this is a still some uncertainty
that about the state

of the party but you know that for
me to slow the I'm getting you want me so

I have to start my day or two minutes and
what we need to do is just actually

just take it's a good perspective
I'm really fortunate.

Actually I can take.

I don't take the actual
maximised expected.

I mean it's a castigation to the last
I just want to get it just right.

OK that's almost every test so

that the night stop and
guarantees that your margin.

That's a well defined on the.

And he says on

the front of the problem.

Jeff it's a very.

Of course it's a very relevant
part the wrongs that have dealt.

How to solve this problem.

So for example you could just
use this ugly words about how

my research one very natural.

One is to maximize misinformation
expect why the alternate business

very well developed nations
he's a very natural.

I expect I finish of
all this very white but

it turns out most satisfied but
that's not so much.

The issue gets me it's the wrong concept.

But it turns out all
those areas are causes.

So you can come up with
the almost very few tests but

if you look at all tests

very existence

was OK to use I decided that I devised

a new thirty five years problem and

say Here is what it's like and
just as a problem to the noise.

This is actually created

I have all the old

tests etc Let me

just say it is all those old.

These authors are a Family First
has already said one

was no older brothers but it was just

one single right.

Try to find out what the type of these and

group them together sets which
we need to see more just to see

different times and of conforming
we have an edge between these

two different tests

served when it was one
of all the inconsistent

edges not of they get rid of dust and

now it's easy to see yet

all the variables that is
just by the total mass of

cuts a few cells and
turns out this is that it is a fact

and you don't get me approximation.

This is exactly

it's not going to be right if you have
a very complex noise models and so

on but
it turns out there's some approximation.

An actual experience

and

that's

what is

my problem right.

Our heart

of hearts

that that is very

hard for her.

If you have to have

very kind of

OK so this is.

It's time

for rest more

be here for us as well.

Gasol character study is called task.

So we have a protest of cards Aarons these

cards are color coded to make the cards
blue even ten dollars if it's red.

You said all of this.

So the first is that Carson City
gets distribution rights.

So you can see little
bit cards right here.

All right next to ours and I asked her

have all this child's

parents intervals but

it turns out I've met him I said we'll

pick right but often times he sees objects
because they're expected games and

that's very good explanations
that have a very hard

time with this constant threat of
risk aversion of this prospect

to those of us.

I cannot but I never want to
be systematic extensive study

trying to tease apart the predictions and

one of the challenges in order to
get set up is probably just over

large a lot used to give you some advice

experiment of the last two hours to

find out how very close to.

I distinguishes very well for all of mine
have one variable the stars probably

have the whole of civil rights and I know

it's wondering if it was just they're

trying to there's a sense of
value to it here or there hearts.

How did you hear all of this

you know you look at some of the different
values of it is that it's a very large

very good point because it's
very similar to the scene.

It's the officer

because I suspect others
are probably not going to ask.

It's one threats and
as much information about why it's so

stimulate from the sort of give
answers to the crisis you can ask

and then you can see how
small of a part of this.

What is your accuracy and
identifying drugs and so

one natural baseline is just
taking tests at random questions.

That's certainly should be a supportive
method but it turns out for the second.

So this is to generalize by
research which were just beside.

I was listening very much
to other candidates and

certain stories didn't test at all.

One very standard procedure in.

Its existence.

Hearings this sort of you know time stuff.

I just thought actually was
surprising that it's about

as My advice to me what about mission.

Terry would be recommended by this issue
is just the question that increases

your chance of correct justification
as much as possible and if you can

really help people find that security that
you would like to optimize the right.

But it just turns out it's
very medals not as a lottery.

It's going to decide he
will tell you to maximize

whatever does better than just getting
tested but it still is pretty good works.

This country.

So this is a solicitation for kinds of
characters who are really excited for

their money brothers out there

in the lab and ask them to choose
between to Terri's repeatedly for

a number of trials trials and
yes they did their best guess what.

One of the best explains why we haven't

heard and just some of your submissions.

But there's quite a bit of their
reputation is not one of the best

describes what really happens this
very large amount of support for

for just maximizing expected value.

So the subject pools for
the rest of them over quantity of trading.

But it's just there maybe like

this little support for for profit but
I think what's interesting is very funny.

Whatever was very slow to
satisfy one of the models for

words statements like water or
something where it's most likely

just well yeah I think it's very hard

and it's particularly setting up
an order of magnitude you prove it by

himself before using the Took
us about five minutes or so

or twelve years old

and I proved it to a few seconds.

But if you think about actually
one of the words dots.

This is also ahead.

There's been some current We're modeling.

Tables issues into account for
the smartphone if you call

into active coverage to those ten.

It's also the very next sentence
occurred to have OK that's right but

this is a promise if you post first
focuses on the worst case settings to this

prior on your part of the variables and

you also say OK that's about it.

I'd like to let's just say that these
are some examples where it isn't.

Learning beyond this just a huge
huge interest methods from

a lot of interesting problems
that arise from the structure

that several others
because I just don't see

a problem stated be
encouraged to look at it

as another musician and

also I just heard.

I've been running up to me
conferences every year since it's

part of our interests audience so
it's a little bit hard

it's hard there are lots to be had.

So it's been very isolated from

the very very very fortunately.

It's things.

Right but it's sort of a question.

But if you can write right.

So I

just.